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Lesson 15: The Advanced Course - Part 3

Basic Strategy Variations: Double?

The opportunity to double your bet in return for agreeing to accept only one more card is a very powerful option for the player, if it's utilized correctly. I can't tell you how often I see players double hands like 7 or 8 against a dealer's up card of 6 and then bemoan their fate when they lose. Yes, the dealer is very vulnerable with a 6 showing, but placing an extra bet changes the mathematics of the hand, so all doubles must be well-considered. For example, in a six-deck game where the dealer stands on A-6, doubling a hand of 8 against the dealer's 6 has a total return of 10.3% whereas just hitting the hand returns 12.3% and the risk is lower!

That said, there comes a time when it is worthwhile to double an 8 against a dealer's 6 and that's when there's a higher proportion than normal of 10s left in the deck. That point is determined, of course, by the true count. As the true count gets more positive, it becomes more profitable to double. Conversely, as the count goes negative, it becomes a better play to hit some hands, rather than double.

Just as you're using flashcards to learn the hit/stand variations, make up, a set for doubling. Here are the numbers you need:

Basic Strategy Variations Six decks, dealer stands on A-6

Soft Doubling

A-2 vs. 4 Double at 7. (Got this? Basic strategy says to HIT A-2 against a 4, but if the true count is 7 or higher, you should double.)
A-2 vs. 5 Double at 0. (Don't get confused here. Basic strategy says DOUBLE A-2 against a 5, but if the count is at all negative, just hit it; double only when the count is 0 or higher.)
A-2 vs. 6 Double at -2. (or higher. As long as the count remains above -2, you'll double; once it goes lower than -2, you'll just hit --- then hopefully leave the table if the count doesn't improve.)
A-3 vs. 4 Double at 6.
A-3 vs. 5 Double at -2.
A-4 vs. 4 Double at 0.
A-7 vs. 2 Double at 2.
A-8 vs. 4 Double at 5.
A-8 vs. 5 Double at 2.
A-8 vs. 6 Double at 1.
A-9 vs. 5 Double at 6.
A-9 vs. 6 Double at 5.


Hard Doubling

8 vs. 5 Double at 6.
8 vs. 6 Double at 3.
9 vs. 2 Double at 2.
9 vs. 3 Double at -1
9 vs. 7 Double at 6.
10 vs. 9 Double at -2.
11 vs. A Double at 1.

Beginners:

bullet Lesson 1: Basic Strategy
bullet Lesson 2: Learning Basic Strategy
bullet Lesson 3: Counting Cards - The Basics
bullet Lesson 4: Card Counting - How To Do It
bullet Lesson 5: Card Counting - The Tricks
bullet Lesson 6: Card Counting - Single-Deck Play
bullet Lesson 7: Money Management - Part 1
bullet Lesson 8: Money Management - Part 2 - A Few Words on Single Deck
bullet Lesson 9: Money Management - Part 3 - Expectation and Standard Deviation
bullet Lesson 10: The Proper Mental Attitude
bullet Lesson 11: Evaluating Games
bullet Lesson 12: Casino Playing Tactics

Advanced

bullet Lesson 13: The Advanced Course - Part 1 - Basic Strategy Variations
bullet Lesson 14: The Advanced Course - Part 2 - Basic Strategy Variations: Double?
bullet Lesson 15: The Advanced Course - Part 3 - Basic Strategy Variations: Hit or Stand?
bullet Lesson 16: The Advanced Course - Part 4 - Basic Strategy Variations: To Split or Not To Split
bullet Lesson 17: The Advanced Course - Part 5 - Basic Strategy Variations: Test Yourself
bullet Lesson 18: Advanced Single-Deck Blackjack, Part 1
bullet Lesson 19: Advanced Single-Deck Blackjack, Part 2 - Basic Strategy Variations
bullet Lesson 20: A Field Trip with the GameMaster
bullet Lesson 21: Beating The Double Deck Game - Part 1
bullet Lesson 22: Beating The Double Deck Game - Part 2 - Betting With the True Count
bullet Lesson 23: Beating The Double Deck Game - Part 3 - Double Deck Basic Strategy Variations
bullet Lesson 24: Understanding the Surrender Option

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